The crazy thing about Cruz's season so far isn't just that his 25.0 HR/FB% is a career high but also that he's hitting more ground balls (1.11 GB/FB) than ever before. If he surpasses this number, it will result in the second most homers in a season by Cruz in his career, behind only his 2009 campaign. But I'm expecting one or both hamstrings to explode before July 1.ĭalton – UNDER. Obviously he has power enough to reach this total. As long as the imp doesn't bite, reaching that threshold again shouldn't be a difficult task.Īndy – UNDER. Injuries are always a concern, but he's clubbed 30-plus long-balls before (33 in '09). My heart has always thumped hard for sweet Nelly. Nelson Cruz, socking the snot out of the ball launching three homers since April 27, rest of season long-balls 21.5.īrad – OVER. I'd buy low on Axford, if you're in need of saves and his owner is in a panicked state. I don't think Cleveland wants to make a change. Axford is far from flawless, but he was OK this season until the calendar flipped to May. Cleveland fancies itself a contender, and Axford's gopher problem is back again.Īndy – OVER, or not at all. Scott – OVER, though I do think the Ax eventually falls. Even though I'm heavily invested in Allen because I expected rough sailing for Axford, I also know from owning Vinnie Pestano in the recent past that Cleveland is not quick with the closer hook. Rocked for four earned in his last two appearances, ballooning his ERA to 4.85, date Cleveland closer John Axford surrenders his job to Cody Allen June 15.īrandon – OVER. Chicago knew what it was doing when it gave the lefty a five-year extension, and he's backed by the American League's best offense. Okay, that's a cute rhyme, it doesn't really make any sense. And Safeco Field remains one of the friendliest pitching environments. The curveball is nasty, his K rate (8.06/9) is above average and he induces a lot of ground balls. Quintana has a 16:3 K:BB ratio over his past three starts and is unlucky to have just one win so far this season.īrandon – ELIAS. He has a 35:12 K:BB ratio over 43.0 innings this year, meaning his 3.56 ERA and 1.21 WHIP are legit with the possibility of improvement. Pick one under-owned starter: Phil Hughes, Jordan Lyles, Roenis Elias or Jose Quintana.ĭalton – QUINTANA. And, while I think he's physically capable of doing that, I doubt he'll be asked to run that much if he sticks in the middle of the order (just 2 SBs, so far, in 26 games batting in the 4-6 spots in the order).įree Agent Fisticuffs. He'd have to meet his career-high in steals (14) the rest of the way in order to top this number. It wouldn't be crazy if Kendrick beats this, but he's never even stolen 15 bases in a season during his career and has an extensive injury history.īrandon – UNDER. If he stays healthy, 20-plus steals isn't a crazy number.ĭalton – UNDER. We're not talking about a slow person, and this is such a modest number. Howie Kendrick, who astonishingly has seven steals already this season, rest of season swipes 13.5.Īndy – OVER. 300 BA back in 2007 (while playing in a tough hitter's park). It seems so crazy at this point that the career. If I went over or under here, it would only be by a couple points in either direction.ĭalton – UNDER. But you're paying a batting-average tax here.Īndy – PUSH. Your hope here is for 10-15 homers and 20-25 bags. Even when Upton is in a groove, that average is a fair number. Upton, who has three steals and four RBIs since May 1, rest of season BA. No one is gonna give you a mega-star for Dozier, I'd wager. Andy – HOLD, because I think the power/speed combo is legit, in a 25/25 sort of way.
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